biofuels market has witnessed significant growth, with a valuation of US$ 91.17 billion in 2022. This market is expected to continue its expansion with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.8% from 2023 to 2029.
The biofuels industry is experiencing rapid growth driven by the increasing demand for clean and sustainable energy sources. Rising oil prices and government mandates for blending biofuels with conventional fossil fuels are also contributing to the market's growth. Additionally, concerns about environmental sustainability, coupled with advancements in biofuel production processes, are further accelerating market expansion. The recent surge in fuel prices due to the Russia-Ukraine conflict has further heightened interest in alternative fuels such as biofuels.
Global Biofuels Market: Regional Insights
In terms of geographical distribution, North America is poised to dominate the global biofuels market throughout the forecast period. This dominance can be attributed to stringent government regulations aimed at mitigating environmental harm and a shift toward biofuel adoption. North America is also a leading producer of ethanol and biodiesel.
Europe is another region expected to experience rapid growth, primarily driven by the increasing demand for biofuels in the automotive sector. Governments in Europe are incentivizing the use of alternative fuels through tax incentives, further fostering market growth.
Global Biofuels Market Drivers:
One of the key drivers fueling the growth of the global biofuels market is the growing concern for the environment. Governments worldwide are actively promoting biofuels as a means to reduce environmental pollution. These renewable energy sources offer a way to lower carbon emissions, making them a crucial component of the global effort to combat climate change. Additionally, the increasing demand for transportation vehicles is propelling market growth. The ease of biofuel production in comparison to petroleum-based fuels reduces dependence on oil imports, making biofuels an attractive and sustainable energy solution.
Favorable Regulatory Policies and Tax Incentives Driving Market Growth:
Government initiatives and tax incentives are playing a pivotal role in propelling the growth of the biofuels market. Countries like Germany, Brazil, and the United States have introduced tax incentives to boost biofuel production and lower biodiesel prices at fuel pumps. In Europe, nations including Italy, France, Germany, Denmark, Spain, and the Czech Republic are granting full tax exemptions for specific volumes of biodiesel production. China has also implemented tax incentives through the Corporate Income Tax scheme, offering a 100% refund of value-added tax on biodiesel oil produced from abandoned animal fat and vegetable oil. These government-initiated tax incentives are expected to foster significant growth in the market.
Global Biofuels Market Opportunities:
The increasing demand for clean fuel presents promising opportunities for key players in the biofuels market. For example, in August 2022, Canada committed to reducing carbon emissions by 40–45% below 2005 levels by 2030 and achieving net-zero emissions by 2050. Fluctuating climate conditions, combined with the growing adoption of clean energy sources, are anticipated to drive the demand for clean fuel, thereby promoting market growth. Additionally, advancements in biofuel production processes are poised to create substantial growth opportunities. For instance, in July 2022, Honeywell announced a licensing agreement with TüpraÅŸ to deploy Honeywell UOP Ecofining™ technology for producing biofuels from feedstocks like used cooking oil and waste animal fat at their Izmir, Türkiye refinery. The new Ecofining™ plant aims to convert approximately 8,300 barrels per day of waste feedstocks into sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), renewable diesel, and other products.
Global Biofuels Market Trends:
Government-Led Initiatives to Promote Biofuel Usage:
To encourage cooperation and boost the adoption of sustainable biofuels, leading biofuel producers and consumers such as India, Brazil, and the United States are collaborating to establish a global biofuels alliance. This alliance, along with other interested countries, aims to stimulate the use of sustainable biofuels, particularly in the transportation sector.
Increasing Production Capacity:
Key industry players are actively working on expanding their biofuel production capacities. In July 2023, Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) and Praj Industries signed a term sheet to bolster biofuels production capacities in India. This Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) encompasses various biofuels categories, including Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF), ethanol, Compressed Bio-Gas (CBG), biodiesel, and bio-bitumen. This strategic move reflects the growing focus on increasing biofuel production to meet the rising demand for sustainable energy sources.
Global Biofuels Market Restraints:
Challenges Stemming from Edible Crop Shortages and Environmental Impact:
The biofuels industry is grappling with several challenges, with a prominent concern being the scarcity of edible crops utilized in biofuel production. This scarcity results in elevated prices for these crops and a reduction in food supplies. Additionally, the cultivation of these crops necessitates a substantial amount of water for irrigation, and the use of fertilizers containing phosphorus and nitrogen can lead to environmental pollution. Such pollution may contaminate groundwater supplies, posing a hindrance to the market's growth.
High Investment as a Market Hindrance:
The high investments required for liquefied natural gas and hydrogen production could potentially limit the demand for biofuels. Nevertheless, manufacturers are actively concentrating on local biofuel production to curtail operational expenses and stimulate sales.
Global Biofuels Market Segmentation:
The global biofuels market report is segmented based on form, product, feedstock, application, and region.
Form Segment:
The market is categorized into solid, liquid, and gaseous forms. Among these, the liquid form is projected to dominate the global market during the forecast period. The liquid biofuel segment, which was valued at US$ 36.77 billion in 2021, is expected to grow at a CAGR of 11.0% from 2022 to 2030. The depletion of fossil fuel resources and the growing awareness of environmental impact are driving the growth of liquid biofuels.
The solid segment is also anticipated to witness significant growth in the near future, with a revenue CAGR of 10.8% expected from 2022 to 2030.
Product Segment:
The market's product segmentation includes biodiesel, ethanol, wood pellets, and others. Biodiesel is poised to dominate the global market throughout the forecast period, primarily due to its increasing adoption as a replacement for fossil fuels in the transportation sector.
The ethanol segment is also expected to experience substantial growth, attributed to rising demand from the chemicals, energy generation, and food & beverages industries. The ethanol segment of the biofuels market, which was valued at US$ 22.59 billion in 2021, is projected to grow at a CAGR of 10.8% from 2022 to 2030.
Feedstock Segment:
The feedstock segment encompasses corn, sugarcane, vegetable oils, and others. Corn is expected to be the dominant feedstock in the global market during the forecast period, driven by its high starch content and relatively straightforward conversion to ethanol. The sugarcane segment is also anticipated to witness significant growth.
Application Segment:
The application segment comprises transportation, aviation, energy generation, heating, and others. Transportation is forecasted to dominate the global market throughout the forecast period, with a revenue CAGR of 10.9% projected from 2022 to 2030. The transportation sector represents the primary application area for biofuels.
The aviation segment is also expected to experience substantial growth in the near future. The International Air Transport Association (IATA) recognizes bio-jet fuel as a crucial element in reducing carbon emissions within the aviation industry, particularly for medium- and long-distance air travel, which contributes significantly to emissions and can extend the lifespan of older aircraft by reducing their carbon footprint.
Global Biofuels Market: Key Developments:
- In May 2022, Renewable Energy Group, Inc. (REG) formed strategic collaboration agreements with CFN and Pacific Pride, two of North America's largest card lock fueling networks. This collaboration aims to provide cleaner fuels through their branded card lock networks. By combining REG's bio-based diesel portfolio with CFN and Pacific Pride's extensive card lock network, the companies intend to play a crucial role in increasing the utilization of cleaner fuels by fleets across North America.
- In February 2022, Adani Wilmar Limited (AWL), a 50:50 joint venture, made its debut on the National Stock Exchange of India and the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) through a successful initial public offering (IPO) that raised US$ 482 billion.
- In October 2022, Qatar Airways signed a new fuel sales agreement with Gevo, Inc., focusing on Gevo's future commercial operations, which include purchasing 5 billion gallons per year of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) for five years. Gevo is scheduled to commence SAF deliveries under this agreement in 2028 at various California airports.
- In December 2021, Petrobras and Vibra Energia announced a collaborative effort to test a new renewable diesel product derived from edible oils. In January, Petrobras and Vibra commenced testing the new Diesel R5 (5% renewable content) produced at the Getlio Vargas Refinery (Repar).
- In March 2022, Green Plains Inc. announced the completion of a 5-year, US$ 350 billion Senior Secured Sustainability-linked Revolving Credit Facility situated in Nebraska. This facility is designed to support the company's general corporate and working capital needs and boost bio refinery production with sustainability-linked targets.
- In October 2021, Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) entered into an agreement with Gevo to utilize more than half of its ethanol production capacity for the production of sustainable aviation fuels. Under this memorandum of cooperation, the companies plan to manufacture up to 500 billion gallons of sustainable aviation fuel at ADM plants.
1 Market Overview
1.1 Introduction
1.2 Market Analysis by Type
1.2.1 Overview: Global Revenue by Type: 2022 Versus 2023 Versus 2029
1.3 Market Analysis by Application
1.3.1 Overview: Global Revenue by Application: 2022 Versus 2023 Versus 2029
1.4 Global Market Size & Forecast
1.4.1 Global Sales in Value (2017-2029))
1.4.2 Global Sales in Volume (2017-2029)
1.4.3 Global Price by Type (2017-2029) & (US$/Unit)
1.5 Global Production Capacity Analysis
1.5.1 Global Total Production Capacity (2017-2029)
1.5.2 Global Production Capacity by Geographic Region
1.6 Market Drivers, Restraints and Trends
1.6.1 Market Drivers
1.6.2 Market Restraints
1.6.3 Trends Analysis
2 Manufacturers Profiles
**This is for each company**
2.1.1 Company Details
2.1.2 Company Major Business
2.1.3 Company Product and Services
2.1.4 Company Sales, Price, Revenue, Gross Margin and Market Share (2019-2022)
3 Sales by Manufacturer
3.1 Global Sales in Volume by Manufacturer (2020-2022)
3.2 Global Revenue by Manufacturer (2020-2022)
3.3 Key Manufacturer Position in Market
3.4 Market Concentration Rate
3.4.1 Top 3 Manufacturer Market Share
3.4.2 Top 6 Manufacturer Market Share
3.5 Global Production Capacity by Company
3.6 Manufacturer by Geography: Head Office and Production Site
3.7 New Entrant and Capacity Expansion Plans
3.8 Mergers & Acquisitions
4 Market Analysis by Region
4.1 Global Market Size by Region
4.1.1 Global Sales in Volume by Region (2017-2029)
4.1.2 Global Revenue by Region (2017-2029)
4.2 North America Revenue (2017-2029)
4.3 Europe Revenue (2017-2029)
4.4 Asia-Pacific Revenue (2017-2029)
4.5 South America Revenue (2017-2029)
4.6 Middle East and Africa Revenue (2017-2029)
5 Market Segment by Type
5.1 Global Sales in Volume by Type (2017-2029)
5.2 Global Revenue by Type (2017-2029)
5.3 Global Price by Type (2017-2029)
6 Market Segment by Application
6.1 Global Sales in Volume by Application (2017-2029)
6.2 Global Revenue by Application (2017-2029)
6.3 Global Price by Application (2017-2029)
7 North America by Country, by Type, and by Application
7.1 North America Sales by Type (2017-2029)
7.2 North America Sales by Application (2017-2029)
7.3 North America Market Size by Country
7.3.1 North America Sales in Volume by Country (2017-2029)
7.3.2 North America Revenue by Country (2017-2029)
7.3.3 United States Market Size and Forecast (2017-2029)
7.3.4 Canada Market Size and Forecast (2017-2029)
7.3.5 Mexico Market Size and Forecast (2017-2029)
8 Europe by Country, by Type, and by Application
8.1 Europe Sales by Type (2017-2029)
8.2 Europe Sales by Application (2017-2029)
8.3 Europe Market Size by Country
8.3.1 Europe Sales in Volume by Country (2017-2029)
8.3.2 Europe Revenue by Country (2017-2029)
8.3.3 Germany Market Size and Forecast (2017-2029)
8.3.4 France Market Size and Forecast (2017-2029)
8.3.5 United Kingdom Market Size and Forecast (2017-2029)
8.3.6 Russia Market Size and Forecast (2017-2029)
8.3.7 Italy Market Size and Forecast (2017-2029)
9 Asia-Pacific by Country, by Type, and by Application
9.1 Asia-Pacific Sales by Type (2017-2029)
9.2 Asia-Pacific Sales by Application (2017-2029)
9.3 Asia-Pacific Market Size by Region
9.3.1 Asia-Pacific Sales in Volume by Region (2017-2029)
9.3.2 Asia-Pacific Revenue by Region (2017-2029)
9.3.3 China Market Size and Forecast (2017-2029)
9.3.4 Japan Market Size and Forecast (2017-2029)
9.3.5 Korea Market Size and Forecast (2017-2029)
9.3.6 India Market Size and Forecast (2017-2029)
9.3.7 Southeast Asia Market Size and Forecast (2017-2029)
9.3.8 Australia Market Size and Forecast (2017-2029)
10 South America by Country, by Type, and by Application
10.1 South America Sales by Type (2017-2029)
10.2 South America Sales by Application (2017-2029)
10.3 South America Market Size by Country
10.3.1 South America Sales in Volume by Country (2017-2029)
10.3.2 South America Revenue by Country (2017-2029)
10.3.3 Brazil Market Size and Forecast (2017-2029)
10.3.4 Argentina Market Size and Forecast (2017-2029)
11 Middle East & Africa by Country, by Type, and by Application
11.1 Middle East & Africa Sales by Type (2017-2029)
11.2 Middle East & Africa Sales by Application (2017-2029)
11.3 Middle East & Africa Market Size by Country
11.3.1 Middle East & Africa Sales in Volume by Country (2017-2029)
11.3.2 Middle East & Africa Revenue by Country (2017-2029)
11.3.3 Turkey Market Size and Forecast (2017-2029)
11.3.4 Egypt Market Size and Forecast (2017-2029)
11.3.5 Saudi Arabia Market Size and Forecast (2017-2029)
11.3.6 South Africa Market Size and Forecast (2017-2029)
12 Sales Channel, Distributors, Traders and Dealers
12.1 Sales Channel
12.1.1 Direct Marketing
12.1.2 Indirect Marketing
12.2 Typical Distributors
12.3 Typical Customers
13 Research Findings and Conclusion
14 Appendix
14.1 Methodology
14.2 Research Process and Data Source
14.3 Disclaimer
Research Methodology
SECONDARY RESEARCH
Secondary Research Information is collected from a number of publicly available as well as paid databases. Public sources involve publications by different associations and governments, annual reports and statements of companies, white papers and research publications by recognized industry experts and renowned academia etc. Paid data sources include third party authentic industry databases.
PRIMARY RESEARCH
Once data collection is done through secondary research, primary interviews are conducted with different stakeholders across the value chain like manufacturers, distributors, ingredient/input suppliers, end customers and other key opinion leaders of the industry. Primary research is used both to validate the data points obtained from secondary research and to fill in the data gaps after secondary research.
MARKET ENGINEERING
The market engineering phase involves analysing the data collected, market breakdown and forecasting. Macroeconomic indicators and bottom-up and top-down approaches are used to arrive at a complete set of data points that give way to valuable qualitative and quantitative insights. Each data point is verified by the process of data triangulation to validate the numbers and arrive at close estimates.
EXPERT VALIDATION
The market engineered data is verified and validated by a number of experts, both in-house and external.
REPORT WRITING/ PRESENTATION
After the data is curated by the mentioned highly sophisticated process, the analysts begin to write the report. Garnering insights from data and forecasts, insights are drawn to visualize the entire ecosystem in a single report.